What the statewide pattern says
Several aquifers, and nitrate rarely travels alone
Texas's higher nitrate is an irrigated-High-Plains pattern delivered by playa-focused recharge, with a karst pathway in central Texas — and it often shows up with naturally occurring arsenic or fluoride.
The Southern High Plains — the Panhandle's Ogallala — is the agricultural-nitrate core, and it moves by playa-focused recharge. Regional recharge across the plains is almost nothing, but the shallow playa basins and irrigated fields concentrate the downward flow of water and nitrate; Texas Water Development Board recharge studies put playa-focused and irrigated recharge many times higher than the regional background (Nolan and Hitt, 2006).
Central Texas is a different mechanism entirely. The Edwards is carbonate karst — rapid, near-direct pathways from the surface into the aquifer — so agricultural and urban nitrogen can move fast, the same vulnerability as a sinkhole landscape. The supported source reading on the High Plains is agricultural — irrigated cropland; in the Edwards, mixed agricultural and urban nitrogen on fast karst pathways. Neither reading certifies a source at an individual system.
The Texas headline, though, is company. Groundwater here often carries nitrate alongside naturally occurring arsenic and fluoride, and near oil-and-gas activity, other contaminants. A nitrate number alone can undercount what is in the water (Dubrovsky and others, 2010) — which is why the testing advice for Texas wells is a broad panel, not nitrate only.